Semiconductor Industry: Growth and Outlook for 2026

As the semiconductor industry moves beyond shortages, 2026 will be defined by system complexity, talent depth, virtualisation and software-first design strategies.

Mr. Deepak Samaga, Vice President of Business Development - Vayavya Labs Pvt. Ltd.

The year 2025 marked a clear inflection point for the global semiconductor industry. After several years dominated by supply disruptions, capacity constraints and reactive decision-making, the conversation has begun to shift. The industry is no longer defined by shortages or fab announcements alone. Instead, it is entering a more reflective phase—one where complexity, rather than capacity, has emerged as the defining challenge.

From close engagement with OEMs, semiconductor companies and system engineering teams, it is evident that chips today are expected to do far more than ever before. They must support increasingly complex software stacks, meet stringent safety and security standards, interact seamlessly across heterogeneous systems and still be delivered within compressed time-to-market cycles. Traditional approaches to designing and validating silicon-centric systems are struggling to keep pace. In many cases, teams are not constrained by a lack of innovation, but by development and validation methodologies that no longer scale with rising system complexity.

Another critical issue that came into sharper focus in 2025 is the talent gap—not in terms of headcount, but in depth of expertise. While the industry continues to attract large numbers of engineers, there is a growing shortage of professionals with strong system-level understanding. The ability to connect silicon behaviour with embedded software, functional safety, security requirements and real-world usage scenarios has become increasingly vital. This gap is particularly pronounced in automotive and industrial semiconductor programs, where verification effort is expanding faster than the actual feature set.

Looking ahead to 2026, the industry’s leaders are likely to be those who shift their focus further upstream in the development lifecycle. Early investment in virtualisation and software-first methodologies will be a key differentiator. Technologies such as digital twins, virtual electronic control units (ECUs) and AI-assisted verification are rapidly moving from experimental tools to essential components of modern semiconductor development. Budgets are already being redirected towards early-stage validation, reflecting a growing recognition that this is where risks can be

In this evolving landscape, India has a distinct opportunity to strengthen its position in the global semiconductor ecosystem. While manufacturing capabilities will continue to develop over time, India’s current competitive advantage lies in semiconductor research and development, system engineering and design expertise. By building deep silicon-to-system capabilities—rather than focusing solely on manufacturing scale—India can play a more influential role in shaping how global semiconductor-driven products are architected, validated and brought to market.

As the industry moves into 2026, success will be defined not just by who builds the most chips, but by who can manage complexity most effectively. Those that embrace system-level thinking, invest early in virtualisation and develop deep engineering expertise will be best positioned to lead the next phase of semiconductor growth.